Hi All,
This has been a wonderful discussion and I appreciate the range of perspectives that have been shared. Given where we are, I thought it might be helpful to offer some broader context and observations.
Over the last three years, I’ve had countless conversations, both internally and externally, about the AAVSO’s photometric reference system. As it exists today, that system is effectively an amalgamation of no fewer than 26 different catalogs spanning ultraviolet through near-infrared wavelengths. Each of these catalogs brings its own idiosyncrasies in terms of photometric zero points, uncertainties, calibration philosophies, and filter systems. As you might imagine, this introduces complexities that accumulate over time.
About a year ago, I attended a Flux Calibration Workshop at STScI where one message came through loud and clear: many of the science cases professional astronomers are pursuing now, and those planned for the next decade, require 1% absolutely calibrated photometry. There are, of course, a many exceptions to this statement where 10% or even 50% error bars are acceptable (e.g. most eruptive events); however, lets assume that we should strive to meet this goal in the future.
Unfortunately, VSD was not built with a 1% requirement in mind. As it exists today, AAVSO’s photometric reference system is effectively an amalgamation of no fewer than 26 different catalogs spanning ultraviolet through near-infrared wavelengths. Each of these catalogs brings its own idiosyncrasies in terms of photometric zero points, uncertainties, calibration philosophies, and filter systems. On average, the uncertainties within a photometric system in VSD are at the 3-5% level, which is pretty darn good in my opinion. Unfortunately, I suspect uncertainties relative to an absolute scale are much greater.
With these things in mind, I’m also left wondering what will happen in the near future. I’m aware of ~5 photometric catalogs that are in the works that use SED modeling or spectro-photometry to anchor themselves to GAIA. For example, there has been considerable progress on APASS DR11 in the last few months and GAIA will be used to rank the accuracy of measurements before the data are averaged into the output catalog.
Complicating matters further, the AAVSO’s long-term plan will have us invest considerable resources into VSD in 2027 (VSX is occupying 2026).
Suffice it to say, I see considerable opportunity and also significant uncertainty with regard to the long-term evolution of VSD.
In January, I plan on putting together a working group to explore these topics (and more) in greater detail to advice AAVSO on how it should proceed. If you are interested in helping out, please send me an email or PM.
Kind regards,
Brian